Three deaths, more than 500 cases, millions in lockdown – and this is just the beginning. As the number of people diagnosed with coronavirus in Victoria continues to rise, we are presenting state health department data and will walk you through how to understand it. This data tells us where the cases are being recorded within the state, the severity of the infections, how the numbers have been rising and which age groups have so far been the most susceptible to COVID-19.
How many cases of coronavirus have been confirmed in Victoria?
As of Thursday, a total of 520 coronavirus cases had been confirmed by the state’s health department.
That means the number of cases in Victoria has more than doubled since Saturday (March 21). The graph above shows the running total of cases this month. The light blue line shows the number of people who have recovered. The dot on the bottom-right of the chart shows the number of people that have died.
The total number of cases has increased by 54 since Wednesday (March 26) – that’s more cases added in single day than the total number of recorded cases in the first two weeks of March.
How is coronavirus spreading in Victoria?
The health department says the overwhelming majority of confirmed cases in Victoria so far have been in overseas travellers (who were infected while out of the country) or people who have been in close personal contact with someone known to be infected.
So far, nine of the confirmed coronavirus cases have been people who had not been overseas or in close contact with someone already known to have the disease, which suggests they picked it up within the community. For 46 cases, the source of the infection is still being investigated.
Who is being diagnosed with coronavirus?
At this stage, 300 males and 216 females have been infected. For another four cases, this information is not yet known. The most common age group for Victoria's confirmed cases is 25-29, with 54 cases (or one in nine) over the past month.
But once we adjust for the state's population distribution, it shows that Victorian men aged in their mid to late 60s have the highest rate of coronavirus infections so far. This graph (below) shows the number of males and females in each age group in Victoria who have been diagnosed with coronavirus:
How many people have died of coronavirus in Victoria?
Three Victorian men aged in their 70s have died from coronavirus. There are still 14 people recovering in hospital, three of whom are in intensive care. The state government expects the number of infections – and with it the number of hospitalisations – to keep rising.
Of the people in intensive care, one is aged in their 30s, the other in their 60s. The age of the third person does not appear to have been released at this stage.
Where have the cases been confirmed in Victoria?
So far the overwhelming majority of cases have been confirmed in the Melbourne metropolitan region. A total of 441 cases have been recorded in Greater Melbourne, while 67 have been recorded elsewhere in Victoria. For the remainder of cases, this information is not yet available.
On Thursday, the health department provided a breakdown of the number of confirmed cases in every Victorian local government area for the first time since the outbreak started. This map shows the areas where cases have been recorded:
If you are having trouble viewing the map, you can also view this data as a table here.
At least one case of COVID-19 has been confirmed in 54 of the state's 79 local government areas.
The City of Melbourne, Melbourne's inner-east, Melbourne's south and the Geelong area have recorded the highest number of cases.
A total of 57 cases have been recorded in Stonnington, 36 on the Mornington Peninsula, 32 in the City of Melbourne, 29 in Boroondara, 26 in Glen Eira and 25 in Port Phillip.
Outside of Melbourne, there have been 21 confirmed cases in Greater Geelong, five in Ballarat and five in Mitchell.
Please keep in mind that this local government area data is based on the place of residence of the person diagnosed and not the number of confirmed cases currently residing in a particular area.
If you have any questions about what the data shows for coronavirus cases in Victoria, please send me an email at firstname.lastname@example.org. We will aim to regularly update the online version of this article with new data as it comes to hand.
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